Ten Alpha Trades

Automated market scanning system — Morning picks at 8:30 AM ET | Closing recap at 4:00 PM ET

Next Scan: Tomorrow 8:30 AM ET (Morning Picks)

Latest Market Scan - Mar 25, 2026 | 8:30 AM ET

Option Picks (2/2)

RTX May 01 $195 Call | Bull call spread
Enter spread if RTX opens above $204 on March 6 — confirming the White House CEO meeting catalyst is live and stock holds the $200 50-day SMA floor; do not chase if RTX gaps above $215 at open (spread premium becomes unfavorable).
Entry: $9.57 | TP: $14.36 | SL: $4.79 | Max: 32 days
MDB May 01 $270 Put | Bear put spread
Enter spread if MDB opens below $255 on March 6 — confirming continuation of post-guidance downtrend; use spread structure (not outright puts) given IV rank at 78th percentile to cap premium cost; do not enter if MDB gaps up above $270 (thesis structure weakens).
Entry: $32.60 | TP: $48.90 | SL: $16.30 | Max: 32 days

Top 5 Stock Picks

#1 - RTX | TAT Score: 8.9/10 | SWING | Size: HALF | CATALYST
📅 Earnings: 2026-04-22
The White House is hosting RTX CEO Chris Calio and executives from America's largest defense contractors on March 6, 2026 (today) for an urgent summit to accelerate munitions production as U. S. missile interceptor and artillery inventories are being drawn down rapidly by U.
🏦 RTX $268B backlog (up 23% YoY); Deutsche Bank raised PT to $240 on March 5, 2026 (Buy); 13 of 22 analysts rated Strong B
🏛️ Trump White House CEO meeting with RTX (and peers) on March 6, 2026 — President Trump and Defense Secretary Hegseth — ou
Entry: $203.86 | TP: $232.40 | SL: $187.55 | Max: 35 days
#2 - AVGO | TAT Score: 8.7/10 | SWING | Size: FULL | MOMENTUM
📅 Earnings: 2026-06-04
Broadcom reported record Q1 FY2026 results on March 4, 2026 — revenue $19. 31B (+29% YoY), AI revenue $8. 4B (+106% YoY) beating its own forecast, with Q2 guidance of $22.
🏦 Argus raised PT to $425 (Buy) on March 5, 2026; Bernstein analyst Rasgon said guidance is 'very strong'; Goldman Sachs s
🏛️ DoD AI-first mandate signed January 2026 by Secretary Hegseth directing all military components to incorporate AI/autono
Entry: $332.77 | TP: $392.67 | SL: $302.82 | Max: 40 days
#3 - ORCL | TAT Score: 8.6/10 | MOMENTUM | Size: QUARTER | CATALYST
📅 Earnings: 2026-03-10 ⚠️ EARNINGS WITHIN HOLD
Oracle reports Q3 FY2026 earnings on March 10, 2026 (confirmed, 4 days away) with analyst consensus expecting cloud revenue growth of 37-41% in constant currency and 19-21% total revenue growth — management guided to this range in Q2 with company tracking a $523B remaining performance obligation backlog driven by AI mega-deals with OpenAI (Stargate) and Meta; Oracle beat EPS by 37. 8% last quarter and has beaten 3 consecutive quarters, and Mizuho added ORCL as a new March top pick on March 4, 2026 with analyst Siti Panigrahi maintaining Outperform and $400 price target citing AI workflows and Oracle Cloud Infrastructure demand. ORCL is trading at $152-154, down 48% from its $346 September 2025 all-time high, with support near $118-120 (50-day avg ~$172, stock below both MAs creating a mean-reversion setup into a hard catalyst), and the market has aggressively derisked the valuation to ~28x PE — a beat on cloud ARR growth and RPO expansion could trigger a sharp recovery move.
🏦 Mizuho added ORCL to top picks March 4, 2026 with $400 PT (Outperform); 55 analyst Buy ratings vs 13 Holds; Oracle Q2 cl
🏛️ U.S. Air Force signed cloud modernization agreement with Oracle in February 2026 — DoD cloud migration mandate accelerat
Entry: $154.79 | TP: $185.75 | SL: $139.31 | Max: 12 days
#4 - PLTR | TAT Score: 8.4/10 | SWING | Size: HALF | MOMENTUM
📅 Earnings: 2026-05-04
Palantir is the primary commercial AI platform used by U. S. defense and intelligence agencies, and the Pentagon's January 2026 'AI-first warfighting force' mandate — backed by $13.
🏦 Rosenblatt maintained Buy rating March 3, 2026; 1-year analyst consensus target $186.41 (+30% from current); Q4 2025 rev
🏛️ Pentagon 'AI-first warfighting force' memo by Secretary Hegseth (January 2026) + $13.4B DoD AI budget for FY2026 — direc
Entry: $152.67 | TP: $177.10 | SL: $137.40 | Max: 38 days
#5 - NEM | TAT Score: 8.1/10 | POSITION | Size: HALF | MOMENTUM
📅 Earnings: 2026-04-23 ⚠️ EARNINGS WITHIN HOLD
Gold prices have surged to record highs above $5,000/oz driven by U. S. -Iran geopolitical conflict, de-dollarization capital flows, and rising inflation (3% CPI) that keeps real rates negative — Newmont, the world's largest gold producer, reported Q4 2025 EPS of $2.
🏦 Arrowstreet Capital grew NEM position by 110.4% in Q4 2025 (now 8.74M shares, $873M); Invesco boosted position 45% to 15
🏛️ U.S.-Iran military conflict (ongoing as of March 6, 2026) driving gold safe-haven demand to record levels above $5,000/o
Entry: $116.09 | TP: $141.63 | SL: $102.16 | Max: 55 days

* TAT Score = Ten Alpha Trades Probability Score
Institutional-grade signal synthesis combining real-time market structure analysis, smart money positioning, political catalyst assessment, and proprietary technical confirmation across 11 GICS sectors. Updated daily at 8:30 AM ET.

Current Option Holdings (0/2)

Option positions will be filled at the next morning scan.

Current Stock Holdings (3/10)

LHX | Entry: $355.14 | Current: $351.99 | P/L: -0.9%
TP: $411.96 | SL: $323.18 | Entered: Feb 24, 2026 | Day 21 of 35 (14 days left)
The Senate Armed Services Committee advanced the FY2026 NDAA markup on February 19, 2026 authorizing a $923B topline with specific line-item increases to electronic warfare systems and tactical communications — programs where LHX holds prime contractor status on the IDIQ HBTSS and TITAN ground programs totaling an estimated $4. 2B in addressable awards expected Q2 2026. The chart has formed a 9-week ascending base above the 200-DMA near $230, broke through the $241 resistance zone on February 20 on volume 40% above the 10-day average, and the 50-DMA is curling upward with RSI at 58 — not extended.
TRGP | Entry: $230.14 | Current: $245.41 | P/L: +6.6%
TP: $262.36 | SL: $211.73 | Entered: Feb 26, 2026 | Day 19 of 30 (11 days left)
Targa Resources' Daytona processing plant (450 MMcf/d) is coming online in Q1 2026, adding incremental volume not yet fully reflected in consensus estimates, and Q4 2025 earnings (expected Feb 27, 2026) should show ~12% YoY Permian gas volume growth alongside a potential 2026 EBITDA guidance raise — catalysts stacking against Goldman Sachs' February 19, 2026 upgrade to Buy with $265 target citing Trump's FERC permitting executive order as a multi-year infrastructure re-rate. Technically, TRGP has pulled back cleanly to its 50-DMA (~$215) from February highs, RSI cooling to 58, forming a textbook bull flag with volume contracting on the pullback — classic institutional re-entry setup before the next leg. Thesis fails if Q4 EBITDA misses $1.
PLTR | Entry: $153.19 | Current: $154.96 | P/L: +1.2%
TP: $180.76 | SL: $140.93 | Entered: Mar 05, 2026 | Day 14 of 15 (1 days left)
Rosenblatt Securities analyst John McPeake raised Palantir's price target to $200 from $150 on March 3, 2026, calling Operation Epic Fury a 'live-fire validation' of PLTR's AIP and Maven Smart System — the exact platforms now being used in active US-Israeli military operations against Iran — with a DISA authorization for PFCS Forward secured February 12 extending IL5/IL6 accreditation for defense deployments. Technically, PLTR reversed off $130 support and broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 2; the stock is now reclaiming the $150 key resistance level after a >20% YTD drawdown that created a deeply oversold base, with the momentum indicator turning positive on February 26. Thesis is invalidated if the US-Iran conflict de-escalates rapidly (ceasefire announced) removing the defense AI urgency premium, or if the Anthropic/Pentagon entanglement expands to restrict PLTR's own federal AI platform contracts.

Performance

CLOSED TRADES
15
WIN RATE
40%
TOTAL P/L
$-63

ALL CLOSED TRADES (27 records)

CTRA | 2026-02-27 → 2026-03-24 | 25 days
Entry: $30.01 | Exit: $35.11 | P/L: +17.0% ($+1,529) | ✅ Target Hit
LMT | 2026-02-25 → 2026-03-24 | 27 days
Entry: $664.43 | Exit: $610.69 | P/L: -8.1% ($-728) | 🛑 Stop Loss
NOC | 2026-03-04 → 2026-03-23 | 19 days
Entry: $759.11 | Exit: $698.31 | P/L: -8.0% ($-721) | 🛑 Stop Loss
AVGO | 2026-02-27 → 2026-03-17 | 18 days
Entry: $321.70 | Exit: $324.92 | P/L: +1.0% ($+90) | ⏱️ Time Exit
MELI | 2026-02-26 → 2026-03-16 | 18 days
Entry: $1767.71 | Exit: $1670.00 | P/L: -5.5% ($-497) | ⏱️ Time Exit
SMCI | 2026-02-25 → 2026-03-13 | 16 days
Entry: $31.13 | Exit: $30.90 | P/L: -0.7% ($-66) | ⏱️ Time Exit
DDOG | 2026-03-01 → 2026-03-12 | 11 days
Entry: $111.96 | Exit: $130.66 | P/L: +16.7% ($+1,503) | ✅ Target Hit
RTX Apr 17 $200 Call | 2026-03-06 → 2026-03-09 | 3 days
Entry: $10.63 | Exit: $16.98 | P/L: +59.7% ($+1,493) | ✅ Target Hit
AAL Apr 17 $12 Put | 2026-03-04 → 2026-03-05 | 1 days
Entry: $0.74 | Exit: $1.12 | P/L: +51.4% ($+1,284) | ✅ Target Hit
NOC Mar 20 $770 Call | 2026-03-03 → 2026-03-05 | 2 days
Entry: $23.00 | Exit: $11.45 | P/L: -50.2% ($-1,255) | 🛑 Stop Loss
WFRD | 2026-02-24 → 2026-03-04 | 8 days
Entry: $104.96 | Exit: $96.47 | P/L: -8.1% ($-728) | 🛑 Stop Loss
ANET | 2026-03-01 → 2026-03-03 | 2 days
Entry: $133.50 | Exit: $124.10 | P/L: -7.0% ($-634) | 🛑 Stop Loss
LMT Apr 02 $665 Call | 2026-02-25 → 2026-03-02 | 5 days
Entry: $26.29 | Exit: $42.50 | P/L: +61.7% ($+1,541) | ✅ Target Hit
SMCI Mar 27 $34 Call | 2026-02-26 → 2026-03-02 | 4 days
Entry: $2.55 | Exit: $1.01 | P/L: -60.4% ($-1,510) | 🛑 Stop Loss
LHX Mar 20 $360 Call | 2026-02-24 → 2026-02-25 | 1 days
Entry: $9.80 | Exit: $4.45 | P/L: -54.6% ($-1,365) | 🛑 Stop Loss
COIN Mar 27 $165 Call | 2026-02-18 → 2026-02-23 | 0 days
Entry: $14.80 | Exit: $14.18 | P/L: -4.2% ($-209) | 🔄 System Reset
NVDA Mar 20 $190 Call | 2026-02-18 → 2026-02-23 | 0 days
Entry: $9.90 | Exit: $11.35 | P/L: +14.6% ($+732) | 🔄 System Reset
AMD | 2026-02-15 → 2026-02-23 | 0 days
Entry: $207.32 | Exit: $195.22 | P/L: -5.8% ($-525) | 🔄 System Reset
AMZN | 2026-02-15 → 2026-02-23 | 0 days
Entry: $198.79 | Exit: $204.75 | P/L: +3.0% ($+270) | 🔄 System Reset
AVGO | 2026-02-15 → 2026-02-23 | 0 days
Entry: $325.17 | Exit: $325.89 | P/L: +0.2% ($+20) | 🔄 System Reset
COIN | 2026-02-15 → 2026-02-23 | 0 days
Entry: $164.32 | Exit: $159.83 | P/L: -2.7% ($-246) | 🔄 System Reset
GOOGL | 2026-02-15 → 2026-02-23 | 0 days
Entry: $305.72 | Exit: $312.40 | P/L: +2.2% ($+197) | 🔄 System Reset
META | 2026-02-15 → 2026-02-23 | 0 days
Entry: $639.77 | Exit: $639.83 | P/L: +0.0% ($+1) | 🔄 System Reset
NVDA | 2026-02-15 → 2026-02-23 | 0 days
Entry: $182.81 | Exit: $190.69 | P/L: +4.3% ($+388) | 🔄 System Reset
PLTR | 2026-02-15 → 2026-02-23 | 0 days
Entry: $131.41 | Exit: $130.24 | P/L: -0.9% ($-80) | 🔄 System Reset
SMCI | 2026-02-15 → 2026-02-23 | 0 days
Entry: $30.54 | Exit: $30.67 | P/L: +0.4% ($+38) | 🔄 System Reset
TSLA | 2026-02-15 → 2026-02-23 | 0 days
Entry: $417.44 | Exit: $394.33 | P/L: -5.5% ($-498) | 🔄 System Reset

How Ten Alpha Trades Works

Ten Alpha Trades (TAT) is a quantitative market scanning system that runs every weekday morning at 8:30 AM ET. Each morning, the system analyzes current market conditions and generates the Top 5 Stock Picks of the day plus evaluates 2 Options Positions, using a structured six-phase analytical framework covering technical levels, institutional flow, political catalysts, earnings risk, and conviction type.

The 10-Holding Portfolio: TAT maintains exactly 10 stock positions and 2 options positions at all times — hence the name. The portfolio is not reset or rebuilt from scratch each day. Instead, it operates on a rolling replacement model:

  • Each position has a defined Take Profit (TP), Stop Loss (SL), and Maximum Hold Period (typically 7–65 trading days depending on conviction type).
  • When a stock position closes — whether it hits its target, stop, or time limit — that slot opens up. The next morning's #1 ranked pick automatically fills it.
  • Options slots work the same way: when one closes, the next qualifying options pick fills it at the following morning scan.
  • No intraday slot filling. Slots only fill at the 8:30 AM ET morning scan — never mid-session.

Conviction Types: Every pick is classified as one of three types — CATALYST (event-driven, shorter hold), MOMENTUM (trend-following, medium hold), or MEAN REVERSION (pullback recovery, shorter hold). Position sizing reflects conviction: full-size positions for highest-confidence picks, half-size for elevated-risk or speculative setups.

Hypothetical Account: TAT tracks performance against a hypothetical 00,000 starting account — allocating 9% per stock position (,000) and 5% per options position (,000). This is a paper-trading simulation used to measure system performance over time. No real money is traded. Performance results reflect closing prices as reported and do not account for slippage, commissions, or bid/ask spreads. (Full performance analytics — including win rate by conviction type, average P/L per trade, and benchmark comparison vs. the S&P 500 — will be published after approximately 6 weeks of live operation or 10 closed trades, whichever comes first.)

Important Disclosures & Risk Warning

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. Ten Alpha Trades is an informational and educational platform only. Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, a solicitation to buy or sell any security, or a recommendation to engage in any investment strategy. The information presented is provided solely for general informational and educational purposes.

NOT A REGISTERED ADVISOR. Ten Alpha Trades and its operator are not registered investment advisors, broker-dealers, or financial planners under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 or any applicable state law. No person associated with Ten Alpha Trades is licensed to provide personalized investment advice.

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE. All portfolio results displayed on this site are based on a hypothetical paper-trading account. Hypothetical performance results have inherent limitations — they do not reflect actual trading, do not account for real-world costs such as commissions, slippage, or taxes, and are not indicative of future results. Actual results will vary.

OPTIONS RISK. Options trading involves a high degree of risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Options can expire worthless, resulting in a total loss of the premium paid. Before trading options, carefully review your financial situation and risk tolerance.

PAST PERFORMANCE. Past performance of any pick, position, or strategy shown on this site is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Markets are unpredictable and all investments involve risk, including the possible loss of principal.

CONSULT A PROFESSIONAL. Before making any investment decision, you should consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax advisor, or legal professional who can assess your individual circumstances. By using this site, you acknowledge that you have read and understood this disclaimer and agree that Ten Alpha Trades bears no liability for any investment decisions you make based on information presented here.

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